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Julian Assange has been holed up in the Ecuadorian Embassy in London since June 2012 and looks set to remain there for the foreseeable future. It could be as long as ten years before he leaves the embassy. This is because, should he step foot outside of the embassy now, he will be arrested and extradited to Sweden. Juilan believes that from there he will soon be on a plane to the USA where he is wanted in connection with his Wikileaks Cables.

There is nothing new in the case of Julian Assange except as far his backers go. Many people support Mr Assange but only a handful put up sureities which prevented him being held continually in prison in the UK. When Mr Assange entered the Ecuadorian Embassy he let those people down. He left them high and dry.

Since then there has been an ongoing dispute as to whether or not the people who assured bail should have to pay up. Now it has been decided that they do have to.

Nine people who together put up £140,00 cash look set to lose their money. The nine include prominent people such as a nobel prize winner and two members of the British aristocracy. The bail was posted in December 2010 but was forfeited when Assange entered the Ecuadorian Embassy.

Of course he is not on the run as such. Neither are his whereabouts unknown. It is the British Establishment, no doubt with string pulls from the USA, that is preventing him leaving the embassy. How these facts would stack up in a court of law is a puzzle to say the least.

Vaughan Smith, a friend of Mr Assange who offered him sanctuary at his country mansion for more than a year represented the nine at Westminster Magistrates Court. Today the judge gave his verdict. It was that they had to pay up. He said: "I accept that they trusted Mr Assange to surrender himself as required. I accept that they followed the proceedings and made necessary arrangements to remain in contact with him.  "However, they failed in their basic duty, to ensure his surrender. They must have understood the risk and the concerns of the courts.  "Both this court and the High Court assessed that there were substantial grounds to believe the defendant would abscond, and that the risk could only be met by stringent conditions including the sureties."

Technically he is probably speaking the truth but it seems unfair.

The nine backers now have until November 6 to hand over a total of £93,500.

 
 
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Wikileaks founder Julian Assange, wanted in Sweden for alleged sex crimes, has been holed up in the Ecuadorian Embassy in London. He belives that he will soon be extradited to the USA should he give in and allow himself to be moved to Sweden. With that in mind he has no plans to go anywhere. His voluntary incarceration in the Embassy has already lasted 100 days. It now seems that it could last ten years unless the stalemate is broken.

Ecuador have granted Assange asylum in that country but are unable to transport him there. If Julian steps foot outside of the embassy he faces immediate arrest.

This means that the UK is spending a great deal of money and police officer time in order to ensure that he does not manage to flee the UK. When you consider the amount of wrong doers who often escape the law the situation is farcical. For the UK government it has either become a principle or they are working on behalf of the US administration. There are no other conclusions we can draw.

Yesterday Assange spoke by video link to the UN. He again reiterated his belief that it is the US who are his biggest threat. He is in a no win situation. Either way he faces a long period of voluntary incarceration, a life almost on the run in Ecuador or extradition to the USA and or Sweden and jails terms. With no assurances that he will not be extradited to the USA in the future being made Assange will not surrender.

UK Foreign Secretary, William Hague is to meet with the Ecuadorian Foreign Minister Ricardo Patino.at the UN in New York. They will discuss Mr Assange and how both sides can forward in this matter. That will not be easy. The UK is sticking by its statement that Assange will be arrested should he leave the embassy and Ecuador maintains it has made a firm commitment to Julian.

 
 
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Supporters of Mr Assange outside of the Ecuadorian Embassy London
Julian Assange has been fighting extradition from the UK for some time. Those on the "right" of politics tend to believe he should just give up the fight and go to Sweden where he is wanted for alleged sex crimes. Those deemed by some in the UK to be "left wing liberals" have supported Assange's attempts to avoid extradition.

The case of Julian Assange is complicated. His fear appears to be that from Sweden he could be easily extradited to the US where he is wanted in connection with his online Wiki leaks cables. Viewed by those in the US administration as an enemy of the State his fate in the US is hard to guess. However in a worse case scenario he could face the death penalty. He could also face an extended spell in Gitmo, the notorious Guantanamo prison, whilst he awaits his trial and his fate.

As June 2012 drew to an end Mr Assange entered the Ecuadorian Embassy in London and there he has stayed. Those who had posted bail lost a great deal of money. People so minded however still tend to support Mr Assange. Matters came to a head yesterday when UK Foreign Secretary William Hague said that he could send in officers to remove Mr Assange from the Embassy.  Whilst he quoted a forgotten law to explain the reasoning behind this, feathers were soon flying.

Today, August 16, 2012 the Government in Ecuador responded with a statement.  It quite rightly viewed such a posible entry into an embassy as a violation. Consider what Hague would say should such an intrusion occur in a British Embassy abroad and it is easy to agree with them.

Protesters were outside of the embassy this morning as Mr Assange's immediate fate was decided. In the end the Ecuadorian government have granted him asylum. Diplomatic relations between Ecuador and the UK have plumetted. The two countries are now fixed in a stand off. If Mr Assange leaves the building he will be immediately apprehended by British authorities. This of course means that an expensive and extended police presence around the embassy will be neceassry.

Whilst the UK maintains that their mission is simply to ensure that Assange faces justice for his alleged crimes in Sweden most people doubt that is true. The monumental effort that Great Britian is undertaking to make sure that Assange leaves the UK indicates a more sinister reason, that is extradition to the US.

A flurry of diplomatic activity will now see the Ecuadorian ambassdor in Sweden summoned to meet with authorities there. The matter is far from settled. Is the US administration pulling extradition strings to ultimately move Assange to the States? Yes it would seem that way.